Financial models.

Every model answers one decision. Built so your own team can follow it, change it and check it.

The models we build

Valuation

What a business is worth today, from the cash it will make.

Change one assumption and you see what it is worth to you.

worth today cash in later years
Future cash, brought back to what it is worth now.

Cap table modeling

Who owns what, through every round, and what a new one does to it.

It shows what each person holds the day the company is sold.

before after a round founders new money pool
Ownership before a round, and after it.

Leveraged buyout

What a buyer can pay, how much of it is borrowed, and what the equity returns.

It tells you whether the price still works after the debt.

price paid sold later borrowed equity
What goes in, and what comes back out at the sale.

Venture fund returns

What a fund returns when most of its companies return nothing.

It shows how big one winner has to be.

one pays for the rest ten companies in a fund
One company carrying a whole fund.

Three statements

Profit, balance sheet and cash, joined so a change in one shows in all three.

It is where you find out the plan runs out of cash.

Profit Balance sheet Cash
Three statements, and the loop between them.

FP&A

Financial planning and analysis: the budget, the forecast, and the gap between them each month.

It turns the drivers a team can actually move into a number the board sees.

the plan what happened, month by month short
The plan, what actually happened, and the month it went wrong.

Project finance

A plant, a road or a site funded on its own cash, by lenders with no claim beyond it.

It works out what the project can borrow and when the owners finally get paid.

cash the project makes running costs the loan a reserve then the owners last in line
Where the money goes each period, and who is last in line.

Debt sizing

How much a lender will really lend against the cash a business or a project makes.

It sizes the loan to the cover they need, not to what you asked for.

cash, year by year cover the lender keeps the loan this cash can carry
The cash a lender looks at, and the loan it carries.

Credit loss

What a book of loans loses in a normal year, and in a bad one.

It puts a number on the tail nobody budgets for.

a normal year a bad one
The year you expect, and the year you have to survive.

Securitization

A pool of loans cut into slices, and which slice takes the loss first.

It shows how much the pool can lose before the top slice is touched.

paid first then this loses first losses one pool, three slices
Losses eat the bottom slice first.

Lease against buy

Whether to lease an asset or buy it, once tax and the end of the term are counted.

The answer usually turns on the interest rate.

lease buy they cross over the asset's life
Two ways to pay for the same asset, over its life.

Economic appraisal

What a project is worth to everyone it touches, not just to its owner.

It is the case you make when the return alone does not carry it.

cost now what it gives back, year by year
Costs now, against what comes back over the years.